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- THE WEEK, Page 22ELECTION `92The Tea Leaves Were Wrong
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- Most of the popular indicators generally used to predict the
- winner in presidential elections favored George Bush this year.
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- THE NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY: Since 1952 no one has won the White
- House without first winning this contest -- until now.
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- BORDEAUX QUALITY: A bad vintage year (and this is) usually
- means a Republican victory.
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- STRAW POLL: When movie-goers bought popcorn at General
- Cinema theaters, they were asked to vote by picking a straw (red
- for Clinton, white for Perot or blue for Bush). Film fans gave
- Clinton 40%, Bush 34.7%, and Perot 25.3%.
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- THE WEEKLY READER POLL: Right every time since 1956 --
- until now. In September its school-aged readers picked Bush by
- a large margin.
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- LEFTIES: Lefthanded incumbents have never been reelected.
- All three candidates this year are southpaws, so look for a
- one-term Clinton presidency.
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- CROOK COUNTY, OREGON: For the first time since the county
- lines were drawn in 1882, voters here were wrong about a
- presidential election: they picked Bush.
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- THE WORLD SERIES: In eight of the past 11 elections, an
- American League victory presaged a Republican victory, an N.L.
- win a Democractic coup. Despite Toronto's win, baseball's
- average drops to .667.
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